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To figure that out one has to throw an awful lot of mud at the wall and that can result in losses. I don’t think the process has a shortcut; you just have to do the time and hope that you find, chance-upon, discover a method that works for you and makes you money.
With regards to me, I started investing in New Share Issues in the 90’s and for a while that’s all I did. I can’t remember why I stopped but that sort of fizzled out, perhaps wrongly.
I got into techs and learned some hard lessons.
Then I flirted with ‘blue-sky’ - oh I don’t even want to go there and nor should you, unless you’ve got bags of money and bags of time. TDM, MDX, algorithms for sirens and even deck-chairs. Oh, brings back bad memories…purge purge purge.
Then I started buying value but I didn’t have the gold touch, nor did I have patience or conviction so I tended to buy high and sell low. Doh. Not a happy time.
Then I leaned towards growth because it’s so tangible you can almost touch it. Is it hard to find a winning sector and winning stocks within a sector…it’s not.
Along the way I got caught up with technical analysis, allowing myself to be convinced that there was a black-box solution to the trading challenge (I wanted to say problem but that would have been so 1980’s). But I found no such solution and, like Richard Farleigh, I have yet to meet a wealthy chartist. Well that’s not true, I’ve met plenty but they all sell their services via newsletters/seminars and the like.
Did you know that The Society of Technical Analysts has ALL their money in cash and doesn’t trade it!? Laughable or what. I digress. So I settled for a simple use of charts: to confirm a trend and to give me advance warning where the hoi polloi might enter and exit. Add to that a dollop of moving averages and the RSI (I have no idea, I just try and not buy a share when the RSI is less than 50) and that’s as much use as I can find for them. Cycle man determined to convert me so I remain open-minded.
So in the time-line we’ve gone from 1990’s to May 2006 (I started this for real in Aug 2005).
And after much messing around I was left with a chart with a trendline and a liking for growth stocks. Hello momentum. And that light came on about July 2006.
Then I happened to have a long discussion with some nice chaps about market-maker stocks and that got me thinking about how one could sway the odds of trading in one’s favour.
…and so I became a momentum trader of small-cap stocks.
Well…that was until small-cap stocks stopped moving.
But that hasn’t been a problem because I just took a deep breath and started looking for things that are breaking out. I’ve posted re CAB.
And as soon as I am sure we are in a bear market I will start to short but I really need to see that downwards trendline confirmed first because I don’t want to get caught up in all those short-closing rally thingies. So I suppose my trading style is sort of evolved and continually evolving.
So I would say that everyone has to find his own path. To figure out what sort of trader/investor you are you need to throw an awful lot of mud at the wall and that can result in losses. I don’t think the process has a shortcut, you just have to do the time and hope that you find, chance-upon, discover a method that works for you and makes you money.
Read more on Andy’s spread betting journal at http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/
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Great articleAndy,
I totally agree with your words because it must be the process that all traders “suffer” in some market, in my case in the Forex market.
Yes, sooner or later everyone finds his own method and the most important: a good money management and discipline, and begin to gain money, But it´s a hard process and I must say that you must lose some money before you finally begin to gain.
Yes, this is a very good article.
So many would be traders go into trading after they have read a 60.00 dollar ebook promising that if they just follow this super secret formula only known by a few elite traders, they are going to make 10k monthly.
The truth is, there is very little new under the sun and most profitable traders have gone through the same journey as Andy.
We search to find a system that fits our personality, then work on developing the courage and discipline to use it consistently.
Paul
Paul’s a trader?